Why do I keep convincing myself I have an edge?

Research can begin as an attempt to understand the bet. But once you start leaning toward one side, something can change. The information that supports your position may start feeling more important. The information against it can become easier to dismiss, explain away, or ignore. The question can quietly shift from “What is actually true?” to “What supports what I already want to do?” That does not mean your reasoning is fake. It means judgment can become less balanced without feeling less logical.